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Wednesday, April 14, 2010

100 Seats??

Sean Trende at Real Clear Politics has some thoughts on 2010 and backs it up with some good data:
That said, I think those who suggest that the House is barely in play, or that we are a long way from a 1994-style scenario are missing the mark. A 1994-style scenario is probably the most likely outcome at this point. Moreover, it is well within the realm of possibility - not merely a far-fetched scenario - that Democratic losses could climb into the 80 or 90-seat range. The Democrats are sailing into a perfect storm of factors influencing a midterm election, and if the situation declines for them in the ensuing months, I wouldn't be shocked to see Democratic losses eclipse 100 seats.
Wow. Hard to believe the bloodbath could be that bad, but nothing would surprise me this year.

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