Going Out On a Limb

I'm going to go way out on a limb and make my election prediction today. This is more for sport than anything else, but I think it will be fun to look back and see how close (or how far off) I was. Making this prediction before the first debate is risky, but that's what makes it sporty.

Here we go: Bush wins 53%, Kerry 46%, all others 1%
Electoral Count - Bush 313, Kerry 225

Bush wins AL, NV, AZ, ID, UT, MT, WY, CO, ND, SD, NE, KS, OK, TX, MO, AR, LA, WI, AL, MS, TN, GA, FL, IN, OH, KY, WV, PA, NC, SC, VA, NH & ME.

Kerry wins OR, WA, CA, NM, MN, IA, IL, MI, NY, VT, MA, RI, CT, NJ, DE, MD, DC & HI.