HolyCoast: Huck First, Rudy THIRD, in Florida
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Friday, December 14, 2007

Huck First, Rudy THIRD, in Florida

How the mighty are falling. The two former presumptive frontrunners, Hillary Clinton and Rudy Giuliani, are both fading in the polls. The news from Florida is especially troubling for Rudy:
Mitt Romney’s strategy for winning the Republican nomination was to win the early states and build momentum. Rudy Giuliani’s plan was to accept defeats in the early states and come back strong on January 29 in Florida and in many large states on February 5.

The latest Rasmussen Reports polling in the state of Florida suggests that Giuliani might need to work on a “Plan B.’ Mike Huckabee now leads in the Sunshine State Primary with 27% of the vote. He is trailed closely by Romney at 23% and Giuliani at 19%. Fred Thompson is at 9% in the poll, John McCain at 6%, and Ron Paul at 4%. Tom Tancredo and Duncan Hunter each attract 1% and 8% are undecided.

Those figures reflect a stunning change in the race since November when Rasmussen Reports polling found Giuliani on top with 27% followed by Romney at 19% and Thompson at 16%. Since then, Huckabee has gained 18 percentage points and Romney picked up four points. Giuliani is down eight, Thompson is down seven, and McCain is down four.

It's looking more likely that neither of the sure winners of two months ago will be their party's nominees. Of course, there's no guarantee that Huck and Obama can hang on to the lead now that hey have it.

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