HolyCoast: California Could Go for Obama and Romney
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Sunday, February 03, 2008

California Could Go for Obama and Romney

Zogby's latest California poll numbers:
Democrats: Obama 45%, Clinton 41%

Republicans: Romney 37%, McCain 34%, Huckabee 12%, Paul 5%

Wednesday will be a battle of press releases. It won't be as important to be the winner as it will be to be perceived as the winner by the media. The coverage on Tuesday night could keep a candidate in the race or drive him (or her) out. If Obama comes in with fewer delegates at the end of the day, but does better than expected, he'll reap the benefit of winning in the press if not in actual numbers.

Because of proportional awards in the Dem party, both candidates will get delegates in each state, and by the end of the day we'll see who comes up with more. Expectations are that Hillary will prevail and come out with a lead, though it may not be that impressive.

On the GOP side, there are a number of winner-take-all contests. Should McCain do well in those states he could wake up Wednesday with a nearly insurmountable lead.

We'll talk about this and the other Super Tuesday news on my BlogTalkRadio show Monday night, 8pm PT. Tune in and join the conversation.

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