HolyCoast: Superdelegates Moving Toward Obama
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Friday, March 14, 2008

Superdelegates Moving Toward Obama

The superdelegates that Hillary Clinton needs to steal the victory from Barack Obama are not moving her direction:
March 14 (Bloomberg) -- Barack Obama has pulled almost even with Hillary Clinton in endorsements from top elected officials and has cut into her lead among the other superdelegates she's relying on to win the Democratic presidential nomination.

Among the 313 of 796 superdelegates who are members of Congress or governors, Clinton has commitments from 103 and Obama is backed by 96, according to lists supplied by the campaigns. Fifty-three of Obama's endorsements have come since he won the Jan. 3 Iowa caucuses, compared with 12 who have aligned with Clinton since then.

``That's not glacial, that is a remarkable momentum,'' Senator Claire McCaskill of Missouri, a superdelegate and Obama supporter, said in an interview. ``I don't think there is anything that will slow that down.''

Democratic elected officials have the most at stake in the nomination because the candidate at the top of the ticket in November will have an impact on state and local races.

In the overall race for superdelegates -- elected and party officials who automatically receive votes at the Democratic National Convention that will choose the nominee -- Clinton leads Obama in commitments by 249 to 212, according to an Associated Press tally.

The trend, though, is running against the New York senator. Since March 5, the day after she won primaries in Texas, Ohio, Rhode Island and Obama took Vermont, the Illinois senator has won backing from nine superdelegates and Clinton one, according to the campaigns and interviews.

Keep in mind that the superdelegates are not bound to any commitments they may have made. You'll remember that Rep. John Lewis was committed to Clinton...until his congressional district went 75% for Obama and then he decided it was time to reconsider. Whatever numbers each camp are reporting are more for psychological effect than anything else. Those people are free to change their minds before they cast their ballots in Denver.

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