Bad News for Dems - No Recession

Although Democrats and the media are freely throwing around the "R" word, and something like 80% of Americans believe we're in a recession (thanks again to Dems and media), the numbers don' lie. We're not in a recession. Slow growth to be sure, but a recession requires two consecutive quarters of negative growth.

Economy limps ahead at a 0.6 percent pace in first quarter, better pace than expected


WASHINGTON (AP) -- The bruised economy limped through the first quarter, growing at just a 0.6 percent pace as housing and credit problems forced people and businesses alike to hunker down.

The country's economic growth during January through March was the same as in the final three months of last year, the Commerce Department reported Wednesday. The statistic did not meet what economists consider a definition of a recession, which is a contraction of the economy. This means that although the economy is stuck in a rut, it is still managing to grow, even if slightly.

Many analysts were predicting that the gross domestic product (GDP) would weaken a bit more -- to a pace of just 0.5 percent -- in the first quarter. Earlier this year, some thought the economy would actually lurch into reverse during the opening quarter. Now, they say they believe that will likely happen during the current April-to-June period.

"The economy is weak but not collapsing," said Lynn Reaser, chief economist at Bank of America's Investment Strategies Group. "A recession can't be ruled out, although the stars are not lined up at this point to definitively say one way or the other."

On Wall Street, investors found comfort that the GDP figure was a bit better than expected. The Dow Jones industrials were up more than 100 points in morning trading.

This will probably be the greatest story never told since any reporting will include something like "we're probably in a recession now even if not in the first quarter". They'll keep hammering that theme until it finally becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy.