“The researchers found that the chances of a magnitude 7.5 or greater temblor in the next 30 years is 46%. They determined such a quake would likely occur in Southern California.They've been saying basically the same thing for the last 30 years. The last time there was a major quake on the San Andreas Fault in Southern California was in 1857 near Fort Tejon and big quakes have occurred along that fault about every 130 years or so, so the southern section of the fault is overdue.
According to a report from the researchers, the forecasts were made by combining “information from seismology, earthquake geology, and geodesy [measuring precise locations on the Earth’s surface]. For the first time, probabilities for California having a large earthquake in the next 30 years can be forecast statewide.”
It'll happen someday and I'm hope I'm somewhere else when it does.




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