The Keystone State is the Key for Nov. 4th

It has been said that however Ohio goes, so goes the election, but this year the key will likely be Pennsylvania. Even the NY Times is concerned:

President Obama? Not so fast, says The New Republic’s Noam Scheiber. John McCain doesn’t need a “catastrophic external event” to defeat Obama on Election Day, Scheiber says.

“I happen to think Obama’s chances of winning are upward of 80 percent,” he writes at The Plank, his magazine’s political blog. He later adds, “But, truth be told, I can imagine a losing scenario that doesn’t involve outside events. It goes something like this: Obama wins all the Kerry states plus Iowa and New Mexico, giving him 264 electoral votes, then narrowly loses the rest of the red states where he’s currently competitive.”

Scheiber devises other plausible losing electoral maps for Obama. “Keep in mind that Obama loses if he wins all the Kerry states except Pennsylvania, even if he picks up Colorado, New Mexico, Iowa, and Virginia,” he writes.

I think the odds that McCain could lose the popular vote by 2 or 3 points and yet win the electoral vote are becoming stronger every day. If Pennsylvania goes to McCain and swings the election in his favor, John Murtha had better find an "undisclosed location" somewhere to hide out. Given the passions of the Obama supporters, his life won't be worth a dime.