“Astonishing news on the generic ballot question. Pollster Scott Rasmussen reports that Democrats are currently ahead of Republicans by only 40 percent to 39 percent. Given that this generic ballot question over the years has tended to understate Republicans’ performances in actual elections, one gathers that if the 2010 election for House seats were held today, Republicans would win or come close to winning a majority of seats—which is to say, they would gain about 40 seats. By way of comparison, they gained 52 seats when they won their majority in 1994. This result may just be a momentary blip, which will pass away as quickly as it appeared, and we are a long, long, long way from the November 2010 elections. But if I were a Democratic member of Congress in even a marginally marginal district, I would be just a little bit worried.”Not long ago the GOP trailed in this poll by double digits. The last time the numbers looked like they do now the GOP swept the House and Senate, taking control of both.
Unfortunately, the next election isn't for many long months, and there are thoughts that some of the spending in the Porkulus Bill is designed to take effect just in time for 2010. Of course, that spending will end up being a big, big problem after that, but the Dems will worry about that later. The important thing to them right now is making sure there's some sort of recovery in time to take credit for it.
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