Four years from now, Mitt Romney will be president of the United States.I'm not so sure. Yes, the GOP has a bad habit of nominating whoever is next on the list (Dole in '96, McCain in '08), but I have my doubts that Romney will emerge as the best of the available options. Romney has always been a little too plastic for me, and if he hits me that way, I have to believe independents and Dems will be even less impressed.
My reasoning is as follows. Point One: The Obama team, while still basking in honeymoon-level approval ratings today, has pointed itself in a direction that will result in disappointed hopes for the American people. They have drastically overpromised, and their policies—even if they are not outright disastrous—will end up inciting more passionate discontent than passionate support. Point Two: The Republicans always nominate for president the candidate who’s next in line, even if that person is deeply unpopular (e.g., the GOP base’s hatred for John McCain did not prevent him from being nominated; he was the guy who lost to Bush in 2000, ergo…). In 2008, the runner-up was Romney. Add to that frontrunner status the fact that Romney has credibility on economics and budgeting, and he’s the prohibitive favorite. Add Point One to Point Two, and the result is a Romney presidency.
A preemptive rejoinder, lest anyone dismiss this prediction as Romney propaganda: I supported McCain over Romney in 2008, and am nowhere near deciding whom to support in 2012.
Monday, June 15, 2009
Mitt in 2012?
For what it's worth, here's a prediction from Mike Potemra at The Corner:
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