HolyCoast: The GOP Recovery
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Thursday, July 30, 2009

The GOP Recovery

W. James Antle III tells us there's a light at the end of the tunnel for Republicans:
Beneath the prognostications of doom and gloom, however, Republicans are showing real signs of life. The GOP is heavily favored to take the governorship in New Jersey this year, where Republican Chris Christie leads by double digits in some polls. Republicans are slight favorites in the Virginia governor's race, despite an increasing Democratic trend in the Old Dominion over the past few elections.

If the 2010 elections were held today, Republicans would pick up a Senate seat in Connecticut (if the Democrats don't get Chris Dodd first) and have an even shot of reclaiming Arlen Specter's in Pennsylvania -- the latter by running a former president of the Club for Growth. Republicans would even win a one-on-one race against Gov. Deval Patrick in Massachusetts, one of the nation's bluest states.

According to both NPR and Rasmussen Reports, Republicans now lead in the generic congressional ballot. National Republicans have succeeded in getting their top choices to run for Senate in Illinois and Florida. Delaware may not be far behind. Just this week, they managed to nudge their most vulnerable incumbent, Sen. Jim Bunning of Kentucky, into retirement, improving their chances in that state.

House Republicans are faring even better at candidate recruitment. They have a target-rich environment, as the Democratic majority is padded with the votes of red-state congressmen who in 2006 and 2008 won districts where Obama was unpopular back when his national approval ratings were above 60 percent. Rep. Pete Sessions (R-Texas), chairman of the GOP's congressional campaign committee, boasts that he will make a play for 80 Democratic-held seats next year.

Voters were desperate for change in 2006 and 2008. Well, they got it and now they don't like it. Suddenly the GOP is starting to look like grown-ups again compared to the petulant Democrats who are desperate to get their way as the run toward their socialist utopia.

The voters took a snooze in '06 & '08. They're waking up now.

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