Boxer and Brown Both in Big Trouble

How could Jerry "Moonbeam" Brown and Barbara "Dumb-as-a-Box-of-Rocks" Boxer be in trouble in liberal California?  Good question, but a PJM poll shows trouble ahead for the liberal dimwits:

A poll taken Sunday, June 13th, showed Senator Barbara Boxer (D-CA) and California Attorney General Jerry Brown in a statistical tie with their respective opponents, Carly Fiorina and Meg Whitman. (Full results are here[pdf].)

The poll, conducted via telephone for Pajamas Media by CrossTarget, was of 600 likely California voters, and has a margin of error of 4%. The CrossTarget poll was an Interactive Voice Response (IVR) poll, using the same technology and methods as the polls CrossTarget conducted for PJMin the Massachusetts election in January, in which PJM/CrossTarget was one of the first to predict Scott Brown’s election.

In the California gubernatorial election, Brown led Whitman by about 3%, with a 4% margin of error.

Brown           46.4%

Whitman      43.3%

Undecided    10.3%

In the senatorial race, Fiorina actually led Boxer by 0.5%, well within the margin of error but showing that Fiorina is a very serious challenger.

Boxer             46.5%

Fiorina           47.0%

Undecided    6.5%

In a surprise result, party affiliation reported by respondents showed a 3% majority for the GOP; these results were adjusted to match the usual proportion of a 7% Democrat majority. If party identification has really shifted by 10% toward the GOP in California, this would have dramatic implications for the election in California and for the United States as a whole.

It's hard for me to believe that voter identification has shifted that much. Maybe a few points, but not 10. However, I'm confidant the race will be much tougher for Democrats than it might have been in a different year.