Race and Geography

First Read has some thoughts on how race and geography could impact this Fall's elections:

Race and geography matter: There are a few reasons why Democrats are more likely to lose the House than the Senate, but one reason that hasn't received as much attention is the issue of race and geography. As it turns out, much of the competitive House battlefield is in mostly white and mostly rural congressional districts. And President Obama's numbers aren't strong here: According to our most recent NBC/WSJ poll, just 36% of whites and 31% of rural Americans approved of the president’s job (By the way, those numbers are about where George W. Bush was with whites from 2006 through 2008). On the other hand, Obama may very well be able to help in several Senate races that could determine the control of that chamber -- California, Pennsylvania (Philly), and Washington state, thanks to the fact his numbers are holding up with urban and minority voters.

Of course, this will give the lefty media the perfect excuse to claim that racism is the real reason Democrats lost the House.