The meme is wrong. The Democrats' control of the House did not become tenuous recently. At best, some of the more immediate warning signs - e.g. individual incumbents like Betty Sutton now appear to be in jeopardy - have manifested themselves recently. But there has been a real danger of losing the House for some time, a danger that predates "Recovery Summer" and goes back to the health care debate.Read it all here.
First of all, the fact that the health care bill is no longer the topic du jore does not mean it is no longer an issue. The real questions are whether the health care bill moved voters away from the Democrats, and whether those voters have since moved back now that the debate is over. The answers are yes - the debate moved voters away from the Democrats; and no - the voters have not come back.
Tuesday, August 31, 2010
Obamacare Killed the Democrat
Just as video killed the radio star, Obamacare killed the Democrats. Jay Cost has a lengthy analysis. Some media are advancing a meme that the decline of Democrat chances in November is a recent event and could be quickly turned around, but Jay traces their troubles back to the Obamacare debate and thinks they have a long-term problem:
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It was the "ramming it down our throats" and the chicanery of "you can't be against it if you don't know what's in it" and the "we have to pass the bill to find out what's in it" tactics that turned us against it. Our memories are longer than the Dems think. We will hold this against them, and vote accordingly.
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