Tsunami

They've stopped using the term "wave" election and now they're referring to it as a "tsunami". From Politico:

With just two months to go before the November elections, pollsters and political scientists are predicting a blow-out loss for Democrats that could rival the Republican Revolution of 1994.

In a new NBC/Wall Street Journal poll, most-likely voters say — by a 9-point margin — that they want the midterms to produce a Congress controlled by Republicans, not Democrats.

“If that kind of lead holds, Republicans would almost certainly take back control of the House,” the Journal’s Gerald F. Seib writes.

A new ABC/Washington Post poll gives Republican congressional candidates a 53 percent to 40 percent advantage among “those most likely to vote.”

“Voters were also asked whether they think it is more important to have Democrats in charge of Congress to help support the president's policies or to have Republicans in control to serve as a check on Obama's agenda,” the Post’s Dan Balz and Jon Cohen write. “Here, 55 percent say they prefer Republicans, while 39 percent choose Democrats. The GOP's 16-point edge is double what it was in July.”

And over at the Unlikely Voter the "Swingometer" has swung even harder toward the GOP. Here's a summary of his analysis:

But moving on, the weighted average of these swings is R+22. Which means even with Newsweek included, Swingometer says Republicans gain 60 seats over 2008 and take a 238-197 House majority. If all of this is accurate then we’re in territory never seen since the Truman administration in terms of a single year swing. Back in the day, Presidential coattails would move the House far his way, but the mid-term would react to that, causing the House to be remarkably swingy. That’s not entirely the case anymore, as two of the last three midterms have even favored the party of the President, so a 60 seat win just isn’t done anymore.


But the generics suggest the Republicans just might.

Don't get cocky because until the votes are counted on November 2nd none of this really matters. However, it can't hurt that the perception is a big blowout in favor of the GOP is coming as long as GOP voters don't get lazy and fail to vote.

Democrats - please feel free to be disheartened and stay home.  Many of you likely will.