HolyCoast: Category 4
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Wednesday, October 20, 2010

Category 4

Another sign of the Demapocalypse:
The biggest news in our new NBC/WSJ poll is that there's no news -- after a furious six weeks of attacks and counterattacks. Republicans continue to maintain their generic-ballot lead among likely voters (50%-43%); most registered voters (59%) think the country is headed in the wrong direction; and most (61%) believe the economy will get worse or stay the same in the next 12 months. This forecasts significant gains for the GOP two weeks from now. "Election Day is coming, the hurricane force has not diminished, and it is going to hit the Democrats head on," NBC/WSJ co-pollster Peter Hart (D) said. "It's hard to say that the Democrats are facing anything less that a Category 4 hurricane." Adds co-pollster Bill McInturff: "The Democrats … are facing very, very difficult arithmetic."
The various generic polls are all starting to line up quite nicely, giving the GOP a solid lead of anywhere from 5 to 9 points, more than enough to guarantee enough wins to retake the House.

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