HolyCoast: The Senate is a Toss-up
Follow RickMoore on Twitter

Tuesday, October 05, 2010

The Senate is a Toss-up

From Rasmussen:
New polling in California moves that state’s Senate race to Toss-Up from Leans Democrat.

Recent polling in Wisconsin moves that state’s Senate race to Leans Republican from Toss-Up.

Current projections suggest that the Democrats would hold 48 seats after Election Day while the Republicans would hold 47. Five states are in the Toss-Up category (CaliforniaIllinoisNevada,Washington, and West Virginia). All five Toss-Ups are seats currently held by Democrats.

Republicans have the edge in five Democratic-held Senate seats–ArkansasColoradoIndiana,North DakotaPennsylvania and Wisconsin.

At the moment, no Republican-held seats appear headed for the Democratic column.
Give the GOP Illinois, Nevada and West Virginia.  That makes is GOP 50-48.  California and Washington will be tougher to win, so those may stay with the Dems.  50-50 with Biden the decider and that leaves the Dems with the majority.

The voters may have given the majority away when they selected Christine O'Donnell in Delaware, a state the GOP was expected to win.  Of course, even if the GOP wins Delaware, Connecticut, California or Washington, there's always the chance that Olympia Snowe in Maine will defect, so unless the GOP were to end up with 52 or 53 seats a majority couldn't be assured.

2 comments:

Sam L. said...

On the other hand, voting against O'Donnell means real witch Pelosi could remain Speaker of the House.

Me, I'd vote for the Bucket Of Water.

Luke said...

Don't count out Joe DioGuardi here in New York! He's made great strides since our very late primary. If you need any info about him, let me know -- I'd love a mention (I don't work for his campaign, but am a big volunteer).