HolyCoast: What to Expect This Weekend
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Friday, October 29, 2004

What to Expect This Weekend

Here are some things to look for this weekend:

1. The polls will show a shrinking Bush lead and the media will be ecstatic.

Why - Weekend polls are notoriously favorable to Democrats because Dems tend to stay home and answer the phone on the weekends, while Republicans are out and about with their families doing kid stuff on Saturday and church stuff on Sunday. Republicans are harder to reach Friday night through Sunday night, and so tend to show up less in the polls.

2. The Bin Laden tape will be all the rage in the mainstream media. My guess is the network anchors will play it up in the hope it takes away support from Bush, but reminding people of 9/11 and the guy who caused it probably won't hurt Bush at all.

3. All the talking head shows on Sunday will be dominated by discussions of why the President is not doing better in the polls, and can he still pull out the election. Don't expect the media to give Bush any breaks at all between now and Tuesday.

4. Kerry will be portrayed as "confident", and we will all be reminded of his reputation as a "good closer". The race will be described as his to lose.

5. Finally, CBS will spring one more Bush bash during 60 Minutes on Sunday night. I can't imagine what the subject will be, nor can I imagine that any serious people will care.

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