Mason Dixon was the most correct pollster in 2002, picking the right winner in 22 out of 23 polls. Their average error on each candidate was 1.8 percent.
Their results released Saturday night:
Florida: Bush 49, Kerry 45
Arkansas: Bush 51, Kerry 43
Colorado: Bush 50, Kerry 43
Ohio: Bush 48, Kerry 46
Iowa: Bush 49, Kerry 44
Michigan: Kerry 47, Bush 45
Missouri: Bush 49, Kerry 45
New Hampshire: Kerry 47, Bush 45
Nevada: Bush 50, Kerry 44
West Virginia: Bush 51, Kerry 43
Oregon: Kerry 50, Bush 44
Pennsylvania: Kerry 48, Bush 46
Wisconsin: Kerry 48, Bush 46
Minnesota: Bush 48, Kerry 47
New Mexico: Bush 49, Kerry 45
(By comparison, in 2002 Zogby picked the wrong winner in 5 out of 17, with an average error on each candidate by 2.5.)
Sunday, October 31, 2004
Mason Dixon Poll Numbers Looking Good
We've already talked about Zogby and the problems he had in 2002. The Mason Dixon Poll was much more accurate that year, and here are the latest numbers from the Kerry Spot:
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