HolyCoast: McCain Handily Beating Hillary...For Now
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Thursday, December 14, 2006

McCain Handily Beating Hillary...For Now

While Hillary Clinton continues to beat all comers in the Dem race for '08, she has a long way to go to take out John McCain according to this LA Times poll:
Democrats have an overwhelmingly favorable view of Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, but she would be soundly beaten if she ran for president against Republican Sen. John McCain now, a new Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg poll has found.

Underscoring the New York Democrat's potential vulnerability, the poll also found that Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, a Republican little known to most voters, would give Clinton a run for her money.

Given a choice between McCain and Clinton, half of those surveyed said they would vote for the Arizona Republican, compared with 36% for the former first lady. In a matchup with Romney, the poll indicated Clinton would win by just 6 percentage points, 42% to 36%.

The poll also pointed out a couple of potential problems for both McCain and Romney:
Romney's religion — he is a Mormon — and McCain's age could be more problematic. Fourteen percent of registered voters polled said they would not vote for a Mormon, and the same number said they would not vote for someone who is 72 years old, which will be McCain's age by election day in 2008.

And what about Rudy?
Still, the survey spotlighted obstacles to McCain emerging as the GOP standard-bearer. A significant segment of Republicans who call themselves conservatives — the base of the party — have an unfavorable opinion of him.

In contrast, former New York Mayor Rudolph W. Giuliani received highly favorable marks across the party's ideological spectrum. Giuliani has not taken as many steps toward a presidential candidacy as McCain and Romney have, and the poll did not measure how he would perform against Clinton.

I would think that Rudy's numbers against Clinton would be similar or even better than McCain's. Rudy's still going to have problems with some conservatives due to his more liberal views on some social issues. Those conservatives will play a big role in the primaries, so Rudy will have to figure out how to win them over if he wants the nomination.

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