HolyCoast: Ike's Gonna Hit Texas - Could Be A "Worst Case" Storm
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Wednesday, September 10, 2008

Ike's Gonna Hit Texas - Could Be A "Worst Case" Storm

Looking at the forecast track last night I though Ike would continue west and south and possibly hit down around Brownsville, but tonight the forecasters are calling for a northward turn that going to take the storm very close to my friends in Rockport:
It's a little hard to tell from these maps, but it looks like the current track would have landfall around Port Lavaca, which is only about 50 miles from Rockport. If correct, Rockport will be in for a rough ride. Being left of center they may avoid the worst of the storm surge, but they'll be subject to hurricane force winds and heavy rain. Not good.

There is some thought that atmospheric conditions will move the storm a little more to the north - good for Rockport, bad for Houston. If the storm makes landfall around Freeport, TX, the front right quadrant (where the strongest winds and heaviest storm surge are) will be focused right on Galveston and Houston. Severe storm surge conditions could flood hundreds of thousands of homes.

Some are saying this could be the strongest storm to hit Texas in 40 years. I rode out Hurricane Celia, a strong Cat 3 in Corpus Christi in 1970 that did tremendous damage, and this one could be worse.

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