In California, it looks like Prop 8 has a good chance of passing. With 92 percent of precincts reporting, the gay marriage ban is winning 52 percent to 48 percent. And if it does pass, it will be because of black and, to a lesser extent, Latino voters.Here are some updated numbers: With 95% of the vote the race has been called for the Yes side which is leading 52%-48%.
According to exit polls, whites opposed the amendment 53-47. But blacks supported it 70-30, and Latinos supported it 51-49. The polls have blacks at 10 percent of the electorate for this issue, with Latinos at 19 percent and whites at 63 percent. (Asians, at six percent, opposed the proposition 53-47.)
Lawsuits are now being filed, but frankly, I'm not sure what basis they'll have to attack this measure. Since it was a constitutional amendment, it's now part of the California State Constitution and I don't believe the federal courts have jurisdiction to rule on state constitutional matters. And, since it's part of the constitution, it is by definition "constitutional". Those lawsuits probably don't have a chance of success.
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