HolyCoast: How Now? Brown WOW!
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Friday, January 15, 2010

How Now? Brown WOW!

Credit to Mark Steyn for the post title and the following:
How Now? Brown Wow! [Mark Steyn]

A new poll in Boston:

“It’s a Brown-out,” said Paleologos, director of Suffolk’s Political Research Center. “It’s a massive change in the political landscape.”

The poll shows Brown, a state senator from Wrentham, besting Coakley, the state’s attorney general, by 50 percent to 46 percent, the first major survey to show Brown in the lead. Unenrolled long-shot Joseph L. Kennedy, an information technologyexecutive with no relation to the famous family, gets 3 percent of the vote. Only 1 percent of voters were undecided.

Even if you're a Democrat, somewhere deep down you know that Martha Coakley wasn't what your party needed at this stage in the political cycle - a grimly talentless hack career pol embarrassingly stupid and inarticulate on matters domestic (if you're religious, don't work in an emergency room) and foreign (my sister can see the Middle East from her house) who reacts to awkward questions by complaining the press is stalking her and standing by as aides send them crashing to the sidewalk, and whose entire campaign has no rationale other than hereditary entitlement.

Here was the breakdown on the poll: Suffolk poll electorate was 39% Dem; 15% Republican; 45% "unenrolled."

Jim Geraghty has another poll that seems to traditionally favor Democrats that right now shows Coakley up by 8 points. Hard to tell right now which one is closer to the truth. Turnout models for special elections are notoriously hard to predict.

However, I think it's pretty safe to say that momentum is definitely on Scott Brown's side right now. The question is can he carry it and build it through the weekend and all the way until Tuesday. Five days is an eternity in politics. You might remember that it was the Friday before the 2000 election that the news about George Bush's DUI arrest came out and by Tuesday the race was a dead heat. Things can still change pretty fast.

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