Just saw Judge Napolitano on Fox and he explained that the scope of the Obamcare ruling will probably be evident according to who writes the opinion. If it's Chief Justice Roberts, he expects a narrow ruling that strikes down the individual mandate but leaves most of the rest of the law intact, based on Roberts' own judicial philosophy. On the other hand, if the opinion is written by Justice Kennedy he expects a broader smackdown of the entire statute.
The bad news is Kennedy wrote the Arizona opinion, which makes it quite unlikely he'd also get the Obamacare case. It will probably be Roberts and at best we'll split the baby again, killing the mandate but leaving much of the monstrosity intact and still doing damage to the economy and jobs.
And I guarantee you the media has already written their pieces calling it a victory for Obama if that happens.
Some people on Twitter were talking about the effect of an overturn of Obamacare on the job market. Would it suddenly spur an increase in hiring and a possible turnaround in the economy that would benefit Obama if the whole thing were to be tossed by the Supremes? I don't think so. Frankly, I don't see any hope of an increase in hiring until employers are sure Obama is gone. With him still in office and willing to wield unconstitutional power against the economy, hiring and job expansion would be a tremendously risky enterprise for most businesses.
Should he lose on November 6th, however, look out.
Wednesday, June 27, 2012
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