Clinton Wins Pennsylvania

The question now is by how much. A simple guideline:

• 0%-5% could be considered a win for Obama. Won't help Clinton at all.
• 6% - 9% status quo - no real change in the race, and no increased calls for Clinton to get out
• 10%+ - big win for Clinton, changes the race.

We'll see what happens.

UPDATE: Campaign Spot reports that 1-in -10 voters switched their registration to vote in the Democrat primary. Looks like Operation Chaos had an impact. What will be interesting is if those 1-in-10 change back in the next week or so.

UPDATE 2: More from Campaign Spot:

UPDATE: The King Number-Cruncher, the great Michael Barone, says that if Hillary ends up winning with 160,000 votes (his back-of-the-envelope margin), and you throw in the results of Michigan and Florida (even though Obama wasn't on the ballot in Michigan, just "undecided"), she actually takes the popular vote lead.

And this:

YET ANOTHER UPDATE: A few points worth noting in Hillary's victory speech. There's a big sign that says "PROUD TO BE AN AMERICAN", and Hillary goes over to shake hands, ensuring that it's on camera. Over Hillary's shoulder is a young man with boxing gloves — no doubt a reference to the debate reaction, and she says, "I'm in this race to fight for you."

Also, the crowd chants at one point, "Yes, she can! Yes, she can!"

UPDATE 3: From Bill Kristol (a fan of Operation Chaos):

Hillary Clinton’s convincing Pennsylvania victory is the third consecutive back-to-the-wall big-state win she’s managed (following on Ohio and Texas seven weeks ago). She’s done this despite being outspent by Obama, and with most of the Democratic establishment and the media rooting against her. In all, about 16 million people have voted for her so far in this nominating contest. That’s the most votes any presidential candidate has ever gotten in any primary cycle of either party.

So here’s a thought: Maybe we should acknowledge that Hillary Clinton is a pretty impressive candidate. She’s tough, disciplined, and not unappealing. She’s a good debater and adapts pretty quickly (if a bit clunkily) to campaign developments. Her campaign organization and strategists have been inferior to Obama’s--but she’s gotten more total votes than he (counting Michigan and Florida--the voters there are people too!). And she’s done this while bearing the burden of her husband.

So a tip of the hat to Hillary. Fight on!