Karl Rove has been collecting the public general election polls from each state to determine how the race looks at the present time between John McCain and either Barack Obama or Hillary Clinton. (Note to the anti-Rovians - he's collecting the polls, not conducting them.) I posted a previous version of Rove's report here, and today on Fox News Sunday he brought in some updated figures which showed surprising results.
First, on McCain vs. Obama, in the last three weeks the number have gone from McCain 241, Obama 205, and 92 toss-ups to McCain 261, Obama 195 and 82 toss-ups, leaving McCain needing only 9 electoral votes to win. That's a significant change in the last three weeks which included a lot of gaffes and problems for Obama.
It gets even more interesting when you look at the McCain vs. Clinton race. Three weeks ago it was McCain 262, Clinton 166, with 110 toss-ups. Now it's McCain 214, Clinton 161, with 163 toss-ups. Both candidates lost ground in states won, but Clinton has put more states in play.
I wonder what the superdelegates are thinking as they watch these numbers?
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